When Slate unveiled its "Miers-o-Meter" three days ago, I knew it needed to be recalibrated -- it gave Miers a 75% chance of becoming a Supreme Court justice, even though by then her only supporter was pretty much Bush.
The next day she dropped 5%, then another 10 points to 60 the following day, and of course today she dropped to a final score of zero.
Come on, Slate. Yesterday, out of 100 possible universes, Harriet Miers became a Supreme in 60 of them? (Including the one where killer bees have taken over the Americas.) Any jerk could see she wasn't going to be confirmed.
My theory: Slate thought she'd last at least another week, and needed a high starting point from which to gradually drop her score. She probably really had an 8% chance this whole time! That's what I would have given her anyway. I don't know, 8 just feels right.
Yeah. 8 is enough.